BAKU, Azerbaijan, April 23. The
statements that Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan made a number of
days in the past actually blew up Armenian society. To be exact, the
Armenian PM publicly and formally acknowledged that Yerevan expects
mutual recognition of territorial integrity with Azerbaijan inside
the borders of 1991, which implies primarily based on the executive
division of the USSR at the moment.
Clearly, this suggests Armenia’s recognition of the
territory of the previous NKAO [Nagorno-Karabakh Autonomous Oblast]
as an integral a part of Azerbaijan, which Pashinyan didn’t
deny.
The Armenian PM’s phrases brought on nice resonance within the
nation. The opposition began to accuse Pashinyan of betraying
“nationwide pursuits”, and about the identical factor, solely generously
diluted with obscene epithets, was broadcast on social
networks.
In the meantime, Pashinyan made – or, reasonably didn’t make –
one deliberate proviso, which makes it clear that what he stated is
not an acknowledgement of historic fact and new regional
realities, however a part of the sport that he’s going to play. Pashinyan
is able to formally acknowledge the territorial integrity of
Azerbaijan and signal any doc the place it’s prescribed, however solely
with the situation of fixing the world of Armenia’s territories.
Pashinyan dozens of occasions repeated Armenia’s space, 29,800 sq.
kilometers, like a mantra, which hints on the sport he had
began.
Having fastened the territorial integrity of Armenia in
that very sq., Pashinyan hopes to “shut” the venture of the
Zangazur hall, which is why he’s so actively speaking in regards to the
readiness to mutually acknowledge territorial integrity.
The Armenian PM hopes that on this approach he can be ready
to lastly “win” the controversy over the Zangazur hall. The plan is
easy: if Baku indicators an settlement through which it acknowledges the
territorial integrity of Armenia on an space of those self same 29,800
sq. kilometers, then Armenia goes to disrupt any
negotiations on the Zangazur hall, referring to this very peace
settlement! This manner, they are going to have a chance to say that
“Azerbaijan has acknowledged our territory, together with the half
via which the Zangazur hall passes, as ours”. And thus,
“speaking about its particular standing is meaningless.”
Definitely, the naive Armenian prime minister believes
that Yerevan will consult with the trilateral assertion in an effort to
reply the objections from Baku in regards to the Lachin-Khankendi highway and
that Russia could assist in a roundabout way there (hope for the elders is a
signature transfer of the spineless Armenian overseas coverage).
Maybe Pashinyan thinks that his plan is, if not
good, then very excellent. And every little thing could be tremendous if
it weren’t for one “however”: Armenia may have completely nothing to
oppose Azerbaijan in response to the institution of a checkpoint
on the entry to the Lachin-Khankendi highway.
Furthermore, Azerbaijan will be capable to outplay Pashinyan
together with his personal strikes. Nikol Vovayi Pashinyan, did you signal the
recognition of the territory of Armenia, which covers an space of
29,800 sq. kilometers? Effectively executed! And is your signature additionally
underneath the 86,600 sq. kilometers of Azerbaijan? Effectively, that is
all.
Recognizing Azerbaijan’s territorial integrity inside
the borders of 1991 will put an finish to Armenian makes an attempt geared toward
gaining some form of unique standing for the Lachin-Khankendi highway
with out being tied to the Zangazur hall. The peace treaty
between the 2 nations will render all trilateral statements
irrelevant; it would not be doable to consult with them.
And if Pashinyan is basically prepared to acknowledge the
territorial integrity of Azerbaijan, then he’ll inevitably have
to signal the popularity of Azerbaijan’s jurisdiction over the
Lachin-Khankendi highway with out specifying its particular standing.
And because of this when Baku establishes a checkpoint
on the entrance to this highway, all Yerevan’s objections can be
crossed out by Pashinyan himself. And yesterday’s provocation in
the Shusha district, when Azerbaijani navy blew up on an
Armenian-set mine, makes the institution of such a checkpoint a
matter of time.